Monday, November 30, 2009

5A Consulting Consulting Group Recommendations for Xantrex

TO: Mr. Nazir Mulji, President of Xantrex
FROM: 5A Consulting Group
CC: Ian Hand
DATE: November 30, 2009
RE: Xantrex Expansion Initiative



This memo considers the current context where management believes there is a window of opportunity to expand the business, but additional investment capital is required. In this analysis, we consider the needs and objectives, risks & opportunities, funding requirements, investor criteria and constraints, recommendation and the optimal deal structure.


Needs and Objectives

The needs and objectives of Xantrex are as follows:

  • Grow the business through new product development and market expansion
  • Facilitate the growth of the business even if that means relinquishing some ownership control
  • Lower the debt burden of the business and obtain renegotiate bank term loan covenants. See Table A for savings to be realized from repaying the FBDB loan.
  • Secure investment from investors with an exit time horizon of 3 to 7 years. They need investors who are willing to fund the company through its growth phase before wanting ro exit.


Risks

Some strategic control over directing the company’s operations will have to be given up to the new investors. Furthermore, the board will be restructured. Other risks include:

  • Investors may not get along with the current owners or believe the company should be taken in a different direction
  • There are new market entry risks; one of the new markets being considered has a longer selling cycle, and there are general market unknowns that can only be learnt from experience in a market; the new investors may become impatient with management performance as they learn about how to succeed in the new market.

For the investors, the historical financial data from Xantrex covers a relatively short timeframe (1992-1995). In addition, the deal will most likely involve 2 external investors who must share similar goals for the business.


Opportunities

New owners could allow some of the founders to focus on what they do best and not have to deal with setting the strategic direction of the business. Furthermore, investors could bring expertise in the industry in addition to contacts and know how on how to develop the distribution and sales channels.

From an investor point of view, the company has a proven track record of generating revenues and a competent and stable management. The average yearly sales growth rate for the next 5 years is expected to be close to 50%. See Table B.


Funding Requirements

Xantrex needs to raise $3 Million. See Table C for use of funds. The funds should be used for the expansion and to repay the FBDB loan, as well as pay down some of the other loans. The company should take into consideration that the bank imposed constraints on their loan instruments are very restrictive, e.g. capital expenditure is limited to less than $100,000. This may impede the company’s expansion growth plan to enter the DC power products market which is likely to require new capital investments. As a result, adequate funds should be generated to pay down the bank loan and negotiate for less restrictive terms on the outstanding loan.

The equity that will be given up to obtain the $3 million depends on the specific valuation agreed to with the investors. Under the market multiplier method, investors would acquire 34% in equity (Table E). This is the most favorable valuation for the owners of Xantrex. Under the discounted cash flow method, investors would acquire 41% in equity (Table F). Ultimately, the valuation will be based on agreement with the investors and is expected to be between 34% and 41%.


Investor Criteria and Constraints

Investors take some ownership control of the company. In so doing, they will tend to want to understate the valuation of the company in order to increase their equity stake. Other considerations are:

  • Investors will want to appoint a board member. In this case, with two separate VC firms, it is likely that each will want to appoint a member to the board to ensure they can exert control over the company.
  • Investors will want shares with special rights (preferred shares) e.g. with special voting rights and anti-dilution provisions.
  • Investors will want a high rate of return on their investment over a certain time period and with clear exit options; they may also want to increase membership on the board or increase their equity stake if the company fails to meet agreed upon performance targets.
  • Investors will also want protection from share dilution.

As the company considers hiring a new sales manager for the US, and a new sales and marketing manager for its new product line, it will need to set up an employee options plan to be able to incentive existing employees and attract new employees. This has to be done prior to venture funding


Recommendation

The BDC deal is recommended for the following reasons:

  • BDC has a good working relationship with management which is crucial for a venture capital relationship.
  • BDC can bring both industry and market development expertise.
  • BDC will value the company based on reasonably certain sales forecast and not attempt to undervalue company.
  • BDC is a long term investor. They are willing to defer return to well into the future which will allow the company to use the funds to support its continued growth without needing to prematurely return to the equity market.


Optimal Deal Structure

The proposed major elements of the deal are as follows:
  • Pre-Money valuation at $5.8 M
  • Sell 34% equity stake for $3 million
  • Offer Non-Participating Preferred Shares
  • Allocate 30% of outstanding shares to the Employee Share Ownership Plan
  • Appoint 5 members to the Board of Directors. 2 members will be nominated by the investors; 2 will be nominated by the founders, and 1 will be an independent member mutually agreed to by both the owners and the investors.
  • The Audit and Compensation Committee will consist of 3 board members: 1 investor, 1 founder and 1 independent board member.
  • Weighted average anti-dilution provision
  • No redemption rights and right of first refusal on sale of shares
  • Exit options through a qualified IPO or liquidation

See Appendix A for proposed Term Sheet.


Table A

Present Value of Interest Premium





1996

1997

1998

Revenues: Est.

7,500,000

9,100,000

10,000,000

Interest Premium

33,750

40,950

45,000

Discount Factor

1

1.44

1.728

Present Values

33,750

28,438

26,042

Net Present Value

88,229







Present Value of Interest Premium: New Forecast





1996

1997

1998

Revenues: Act.

14,000,000

20,000,000

35,000,000

Interest Premium

63,000

90,000

157,500

Discount Factor

1

1.44

1.728

Present Values

63,000

62,500

91,146

Net Present Value

216,646







Savings from Refinancing

128,417



Table B

Year

% Growth

1996

70.2

1997

50

1998

72.2

1999

29

2000

25

Average

49.28

Table C: Use of Funds

Financing for 1996

$ 2,053,000

Financing for 1997

$ 58,000

FBDB Loan Repayment

$ 405,000

Interest Premium Penalty

$ 88,229

Bank term loan

$ 133


$ 2,604,362


Table E: Market Multiple Valuation Method

Adjusted EBIT

FY96

FY97

FY98

FY99

FY00

Revenues Optimistic

14,000,000

20,000,000

35,000,000

50,000,000

65,000,000

Revenues Likely

12,000,000

18,000,000

31,000,000

40,000,000

50,000,000

% Revenue Likely

86%

90%

89%

80%

77%

EBIT Optimistic

851,000

2,440,000

4,680,000

6,664,000

8,891,000

Adjusted EBIT Likely

729,429

2,196,000

4,145,143

5,331,200

6,839,231

Multipler*

8

8

8

8

8

Pre-Money Value

5,835,429

17,568,000

33,161,143

42,649,600

54,713,846

Venture Money

3,000,000





Post Money Valuation

8,835,429

17,568,000

33,161,143

42,649,600

54,713,846

Venture Ownership %

34%

34%

34%

34%

34%

Value of Venture Equity

3,000,000

5,965,076

11,259,604

14,481,335

18,577,654

% YOY Growth in Venture Equity


99%

89%

29%

28%

Avg. 5 Yr. Growth

61%











*Elder's BDC Network calculates 8 times EBIT in this market

Table F: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Method

Appendix A:Summary of Terms for a Private Placement of Series A Preferred Stock

Amount and Securities: 3,000,000 shares of Series A Non participating Preferred stock for aggregate proceeds of $3,000,000

Pre-money Valuation: $5,835,429, assuming an employee option plan with 2,297,212 reserved shares. The Issue price will be $1.00 per share..

Dividend: The holders of Series A Preferred shall be entitled to receive non-cumulative dividends in preference to any dividend on the Common Stock in the amount $0.20 on all Series A Preferred outstanding, when and as declared by the Board of Directors.

Liquidation: Initial pay issuance Price plus declared but unpaid dividends on each share of Series A Preferred Stock. Thereafter each share of Series A Preferred Stock and Common Stock share on an as-converted basis until such time as each share of Series A Preferred Stock has received three times the initial pay issuance Price. A merger, reorganization or other transaction in which control of the Company is transferred will be treated as liquidation.

Conversion: The holders A Preferred shall have the right to convert the Series A Preferred, at any time, into shares of Common Stock. The initial conversion rate shall be 1:1. The Series A Preferred shall be automatically converted into Common Stock, at the then applicable conversion price, (i) in the event that the holders of at least a majority of the outstanding Series A Preferred consent to such conversion or (ii) upon the closing of a firmly underwritten public offering of shares of Common Stock of the Company at a per share price not less than $5.00 per share and for a total offering of not less than $15 million (before deduction of underwriters commissions an expenses) (a “Qualified IPO”)

Anti-dilution Provisions: The Series A Preferred shall have broad-based weighted average anti-dilution protection on issuances of shares. No adjustment will be made for the issuance of up to 2,297,212 shares of Common Stock (or any options for Common Stock) to employees, directors or consultants pursuant to board-approved equity incentive plans.

Voting Rights: Series A Preferred votes on an as-converted basis, but also has class vote as provided by law. Also, approval of at least 60% of Series A Preferred is required for (I) the creation or issuance of any senior or pari passu security; (ii) an increase in the number of authorized shares of Preferred Stock; (iii) any adverse change to the rights, preferences and privileges of the Preferred Stock; (iv) an increase in the size of the Board of Directors; (v) repurchase of Common Stock except upon termination of employment; (vi) repurchase or redemption of any Preferred Stock (except pursuant to redemption provisions of Articles); (vii) any transaction in which control of the Company is transferred; (viii) any amendment to the Bylaws or Articles of Incorporation; (ix) any dividend or distribution on capital stock of the Company; and (x) any sale, pledge, license or transfer of all or substantially all of the Company’s assets.

Nondisclosure and Development Agreements: Each officer, employee and consultant of the Company will have entered into a proprietary information and inventions agreement in a form acceptable to the Investors.

Right of First Refusal: The Investors shall have a pro rata right, based on their percentage equity ownership of Preferred Stock, to participate in subsequent equity financings of the Company. If any shareholder of Common stock (or equivalents) wants to sell shares, he must offer them first to the holders of Series A Preferred.

Co-Sale Rights: If a shareholder of Common or equivalent wants to transfer shares, holders of Series A Preferred have a right to participate on a pro rata basis (based on their percentage ownership of the Series A Preferred ) in the sale. This does not apply to sales in a Qualified IPO or afterward.

Board of Directors: Five total. The founders will be entitled to elect two representatives; the investors shall also be entitled to elected two representatives; and one outsider recommended by the Founders and acceptable to Investors.

Compensation Committee: Three total. One representative of the Series A Preferred, one representative from the founders, and one outside director. All senior management compensation will be approved by the Compensation Committee.

Restriction on Common Stock Transfers: (a) No transfers allowed prior to vesting. (b) Right of first refusal on vested shares until initial public offering. (c) No transfers or sales permitted during lock-up period of up to 180 days required by underwriters in connection with stock offerings by the Company.

5 comments:

  1. Some portion of the table is cut off. For the original document, please download from Share-point.

    https://destiny.bus.sfu.ca/mot/700%20Level%20Courses/Fall%202009/MOT%202008%20Cohort/Bus%20764%20Applied%20Finance/Case%20Study%20II/Case%202%20-%20Xantrex%20-%205A%20consulting.doc

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  2. You mention having 5 board members with two selected by the VC; I would suggest negotiating to give less control to VC by allowing both BCD and WOF to have 1 board member they select, and 1 that would need to be approved by the existing investors.

    Also, this was mentioned in class as well, but I would suggest leveraging the operating line which would increase by $700,000 as a result of money raised, and request less VC funding. This would be essential in ensuring a lower percentage of the company is given up.

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  3. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  4. I probably should look and comment elsewhere to get my marks for the course, but I thought I would still respond to Helia’s comments to get the discussion going.

    Based on the proforma data, we come with $2,604,362 for the total funding amount, and we believe it is good representation of Xantrex’s financing needs. However, I believe this number is not meant to be exact considering all the numbers are given under the most optimistic estimation.

    The point is that the funding number is calculated for guidance only. The advantage for asking for a bit more is that the company would not have to go back to the investors to ask for more money if the money eventually runs a bit off; in such a situation, the financing difficulty and cost would probably be a lot higher and disadvantageous toward the owners comparing to buffering the 4.5% (the $3,000,000-$2,604,362=$395,638 difference out of $3,000,000 funding plus $5,800,000 pre money valuation) in upfront.

    Helia’s comment to minimize the percentage of shares given up by the owners is well taken; however, I believe the way to achieve that is to adjust the percentage of shares reserved for Employee Share Ownership Plan. After all, if the VC’s percentage of ownership is way under 30%, especially for two VC companies combined, I believe it is lot more risky and less attractive from VC’s perspective so this financing deal might be well jeopardized.

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  5. Good points Eric,
    I agree with this group’s analysis for the most part and see a lot of similarity with my group take on their recommendations. However I do feel that in an uncertain and new market such as Xantrex is moving into there is a need to have a buffer / contingency for unknowns. A big killer for Xantrex would be not meeting projected revenues and having to do a down round of financing. Investors would then have even greater control of the company. If debt could provide the investment resources required then Xantrex would be so advised but in this case their aspirations exceed the potential LOC and therefore equity probably is the way to go. They can always stretch their war chest with a subsequent LOC to cover expenses etc. Nonetheless since there is obviously no one 'right' solution to Xantrex and we are basing our opinions on the available data - I agree with your financing model in principle but would have liked to see more on options for possibly down negotiating the high liquidity requirements of investors, founder vesting options and protection mechanisms for founders in case of changes to ownership or control etc.

    Good stuff though

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